Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 14°C high in Paris on April 5, reflecting Météo-France's latest short-range forecasts amid a cool early spring pattern marked by recent frosts, snow flurries, and northerly airflow channeling chilly air masses over Île-de-France. Ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models cluster around 14-15°C, with 14°C edging ahead due to higher-weight cooler runs accounting for persistent cloud cover and light winds limiting daytime heating. Differentiating 14°C from 15-16°C hinges on subtle variations in boundary layer mixing, timing of any frontal clearing, and urban heat effects; historical April 5 highs average 14°C near Paris-Charles de Gaulle station. Updated model runs on April 4 will sharpen these market-implied odds before official observations resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 5 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 5 апреля?
14°C 34%
15°C 29%
16°C 20%
13°C 13%
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
13%
14°C
34%
15°C
29%
16°C
20%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C или выше
<1%
14°C 34%
15°C 29%
16°C 20%
13°C 13%
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
13%
14°C
34%
15°C
29%
16°C
20%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 14°C high in Paris on April 5, reflecting Météo-France's latest short-range forecasts amid a cool early spring pattern marked by recent frosts, snow flurries, and northerly airflow channeling chilly air masses over Île-de-France. Ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models cluster around 14-15°C, with 14°C edging ahead due to higher-weight cooler runs accounting for persistent cloud cover and light winds limiting daytime heating. Differentiating 14°C from 15-16°C hinges on subtle variations in boundary layer mixing, timing of any frontal clearing, and urban heat effects; historical April 5 highs average 14°C near Paris-Charles de Gaulle station. Updated model runs on April 4 will sharpen these market-implied odds before official observations resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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