Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin race between 82-83°F (35%) and 80-81°F (32.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting medium-range forecast uncertainty from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF models, which cluster daytime highs around 80-82°F amid a weak subtropical ridge and sea breeze influences. The Weather Channel's latest 10-day outlook pegs April 4 at 81°F with partly cloudy skies and 24% precipitation chance, tempering peaks via scattered showers while warm low-level moisture from the Gulf supports mild advection. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—potentially suppressing 82+°F outcomes—and light winds favoring sea breeze enhancement of coastal highs; historical early-April averages hover at 81°F near Miami International Airport (KMIA), the resolution station. Watch daily 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Miami on April 4?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 4?
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 20%
71°F or below 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
71°F or below
10%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
11%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 20%
71°F or below 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
71°F or below
$26 Объем
10%
72-73°F
$114 Объем
6%
74-75°F
$13 Объем
10%
76-77°F
$13 Объем
12%
78-79°F
$24 Объем
20%
80-81°F
$57 Объем
33%
82-83°F
$91 Объем
35%
84-85°F
$27 Объем
14%
86-87°F
$13 Объем
12%
88-89°F
$13 Объем
11%
90°F or higher
$193 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin race between 82-83°F (35%) and 80-81°F (32.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting medium-range forecast uncertainty from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF models, which cluster daytime highs around 80-82°F amid a weak subtropical ridge and sea breeze influences. The Weather Channel's latest 10-day outlook pegs April 4 at 81°F with partly cloudy skies and 24% precipitation chance, tempering peaks via scattered showers while warm low-level moisture from the Gulf supports mild advection. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—potentially suppressing 82+°F outcomes—and light winds favoring sea breeze enhancement of coastal highs; historical early-April averages hover at 81°F near Miami International Airport (KMIA), the resolution station. Watch daily 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Объем
$586Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin race between 82-83°F (35%) and 80-81°F (32.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting medium-range forecast uncertainty from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF models, which cluster daytime highs around 80-82°F amid a weak subtropical ridge and sea breeze influences. The Weather Channel's latest 10-day outlook pegs April 4 at 81°F with partly cloudy skies and 24% precipitation chance, tempering peaks via scattered showers while warm low-level moisture from the Gulf supports mild advection. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—potentially suppressing 82+°F outcomes—and light winds favoring sea breeze enhancement of coastal highs; historical early-April averages hover at 81°F near Miami International Airport (KMIA), the resolution station. Watch daily 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$586Дата окончания
Apr 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin race between 82-83°F (35%) and 80-81°F (32.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting medium-range forecast uncertainty from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF models, which cluster daytime highs around 80-82°F amid a weak subtropical ridge and sea breeze influences. The Weather Channel's latest 10-day outlook pegs April 4 at 81°F with partly cloudy skies and 24% precipitation chance, tempering peaks via scattered showers while warm low-level moisture from the Gulf supports mild advection. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—potentially suppressing 82+°F outcomes—and light winds favoring sea breeze enhancement of coastal highs; historical early-April averages hover at 81°F near Miami International Airport (KMIA), the resolution station. Watch daily 00Z/12Z model runs for refinements as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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