Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a tight split between 17°C or below (41%) and 27°C or higher (40%), highlighting deep uncertainty in five-day forecasts for Tel Aviv's April 4 high temperature amid early spring variability in the Mediterranean climate. Climatological averages from historical data place typical highs at 22-23°C, but ensemble spreads in models like ECMWF and GFS reflect divergent scenarios: potential cool, rainy conditions from passing fronts dropping peaks near 17°C, versus hot sharav winds from the southeast driving extremes above 27°C. No significant developments in the past week, such as unusual atmospheric blocking, have tipped the balance; traders await daily updates from the Israel Meteorological Service for refined guidance on cloud cover, wind patterns, and peak heating potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
17°C or below 39%
23°C 22%
27°C or higher 20%
22°C 18%
17°C or below
39%
18°C
16%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C
15%
22°C
18%
23°C
22%
24°C
16%
25°C
14%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
20%
17°C or below 39%
23°C 22%
27°C or higher 20%
22°C 18%
17°C or below
39%
18°C
16%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C
15%
22°C
18%
23°C
22%
24°C
16%
25°C
14%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a tight split between 17°C or below (41%) and 27°C or higher (40%), highlighting deep uncertainty in five-day forecasts for Tel Aviv's April 4 high temperature amid early spring variability in the Mediterranean climate. Climatological averages from historical data place typical highs at 22-23°C, but ensemble spreads in models like ECMWF and GFS reflect divergent scenarios: potential cool, rainy conditions from passing fronts dropping peaks near 17°C, versus hot sharav winds from the southeast driving extremes above 27°C. No significant developments in the past week, such as unusual atmospheric blocking, have tipped the balance; traders await daily updates from the Israel Meteorological Service for refined guidance on cloud cover, wind patterns, and peak heating potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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