Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate a high of 20-23°C at Taoyuan International Airport—the market's resolution station—for April 4 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, capping diurnal heating below the early April climatological average of 24°C. Trader consensus reflects this tempered outlook amid persistent mid-level moisture from a weak trough over the East China Sea, though some models suggest partial clearing could push peaks to 25°C via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include shower timing, cloud fraction, and sea breeze strength, with historical April 4 highs varying 20-28°C. Next CWA update expected within 24 hours may refine ensemble spreads as uncertainty narrows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
24°C 23%
25°C 21%
23°C 16%
26°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
15%
23°C
16%
24°C
23%
25°C
21%
26°C
16%
27°C
10%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
24°C 23%
25°C 21%
23°C 16%
26°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$119 Объем
15%
23°C
$117 Объем
16%
24°C
$115 Объем
23%
25°C
$134 Объем
21%
26°C
$37 Объем
16%
27°C
$26 Объем
10%
28°C
$27 Объем
7%
29°C
$25 Объем
3%
30°C
$140 Объем
2%
31°C
$288 Объем
2%
32°C or higher
$430 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate a high of 20-23°C at Taoyuan International Airport—the market's resolution station—for April 4 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, capping diurnal heating below the early April climatological average of 24°C. Trader consensus reflects this tempered outlook amid persistent mid-level moisture from a weak trough over the East China Sea, though some models suggest partial clearing could push peaks to 25°C via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include shower timing, cloud fraction, and sea breeze strength, with historical April 4 highs varying 20-28°C. Next CWA update expected within 24 hours may refine ensemble spreads as uncertainty narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Объем
$1,453Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate a high of 20-23°C at Taoyuan International Airport—the market's resolution station—for April 4 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, capping diurnal heating below the early April climatological average of 24°C. Trader consensus reflects this tempered outlook amid persistent mid-level moisture from a weak trough over the East China Sea, though some models suggest partial clearing could push peaks to 25°C via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include shower timing, cloud fraction, and sea breeze strength, with historical April 4 highs varying 20-28°C. Next CWA update expected within 24 hours may refine ensemble spreads as uncertainty narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,453Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate a high of 20-23°C at Taoyuan International Airport—the market's resolution station—for April 4 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, capping diurnal heating below the early April climatological average of 24°C. Trader consensus reflects this tempered outlook amid persistent mid-level moisture from a weak trough over the East China Sea, though some models suggest partial clearing could push peaks to 25°C via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include shower timing, cloud fraction, and sea breeze strength, with historical April 4 highs varying 20-28°C. Next CWA update expected within 24 hours may refine ensemble spreads as uncertainty narrows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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