Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–22°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts averaging 20–21°C under sunny skies, following a sharp cool-down from April 1's 27°C peak at Ben Gurion International Airport amid a northerly airflow shift. Key differentiators include sea breeze intensity, which could cap peaks at 19–20°C via coastal moderation, versus brief inland heating pushing toward 22°C, with model spreads of ±2°C highlighting 3-day forecast uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud timing. Israel Meteorological Service updates and new model runs through April 4 will refine this, as historical early-April highs average 22°C with low precipitation risk.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 5 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 5 апреля?
21°C 25%
20°C 22%
19°C 21%
23°C 14%
16°C или ниже
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
21%
20°C
22%
21°C
25%
22°C
20%
23°C
16%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C или выше
1%
21°C 25%
20°C 22%
19°C 21%
23°C 14%
16°C или ниже
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
21%
20°C
22%
21°C
25%
22°C
20%
23°C
16%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–22°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts averaging 20–21°C under sunny skies, following a sharp cool-down from April 1's 27°C peak at Ben Gurion International Airport amid a northerly airflow shift. Key differentiators include sea breeze intensity, which could cap peaks at 19–20°C via coastal moderation, versus brief inland heating pushing toward 22°C, with model spreads of ±2°C highlighting 3-day forecast uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud timing. Israel Meteorological Service updates and new model runs through April 4 will refine this, as historical early-April highs average 22°C with low precipitation risk.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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