Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 23°C (31%) and 24°C (26.5%) as Milan's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a high-pressure ridge over central Europe steering mild continental air into the Po Valley, with mean projections around 23°C. This exceeds early-April climatological norms of 16–18°C at Milano Linate Airport by 5–7°C, driven by March's +3.8°C temperature anomaly and potential southerly foehn winds from the Alps boosting daytime heating through downslope warming and adiabatic compression. Key differentiators include cloud cover timing—persistent stratus could cap highs at 22°C—versus sunny breaks allowing boundary-layer mixing to push toward 25°C. Daily model updates from the Italian Meteorological Service will refine odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 6 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Милане 6 апреля?
23°C 31%
24°C 28%
22°C 20%
25°C 14%
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
8%
22°C
20%
23°C
31%
24°C
28%
25°C
14%
26°C
10%
27°C или выше
7%
23°C 31%
24°C 28%
22°C 20%
25°C 14%
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
8%
22°C
20%
23°C
31%
24°C
28%
25°C
14%
26°C
10%
27°C или выше
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 23°C (31%) and 24°C (26.5%) as Milan's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a high-pressure ridge over central Europe steering mild continental air into the Po Valley, with mean projections around 23°C. This exceeds early-April climatological norms of 16–18°C at Milano Linate Airport by 5–7°C, driven by March's +3.8°C temperature anomaly and potential southerly foehn winds from the Alps boosting daytime heating through downslope warming and adiabatic compression. Key differentiators include cloud cover timing—persistent stratus could cap highs at 22°C—versus sunny breaks allowing boundary-layer mixing to push toward 25°C. Daily model updates from the Italian Meteorological Service will refine odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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