Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in forecast model ensembles, with GFS and ECMWF runs projecting Denver highs of 64-69°F on April 5 amid a model spread of 2-5°F driven by uncertainty in cloud cover and light precipitation timing. Following March 2026's record warmth—average highs 67.6°F versus normal 55.7°F—a pattern shift brings moisture influx and cooler mid-level temperatures from ridge breakdown, per National Weather Service Boulder guidance, tempering extremes while NOAA's above-normal April outlook limits sub-60°F odds. Key differentiators include steering currents potentially delaying an upper trough, favoring sunnier 66-69°F scenarios over cloudier 62-65°F; watch 12Z/00Z model updates and NWS advisories Friday for refinements ahead of resolution using official DIA observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on April 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 5?
64-65°F 28%
66-67°F 27%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 13%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76°F or higher
2%
64-65°F 28%
66-67°F 27%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 13%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in forecast model ensembles, with GFS and ECMWF runs projecting Denver highs of 64-69°F on April 5 amid a model spread of 2-5°F driven by uncertainty in cloud cover and light precipitation timing. Following March 2026's record warmth—average highs 67.6°F versus normal 55.7°F—a pattern shift brings moisture influx and cooler mid-level temperatures from ridge breakdown, per National Weather Service Boulder guidance, tempering extremes while NOAA's above-normal April outlook limits sub-60°F odds. Key differentiators include steering currents potentially delaying an upper trough, favoring sunnier 66-69°F scenarios over cloudier 62-65°F; watch 12Z/00Z model updates and NWS advisories Friday for refinements ahead of resolution using official DIA observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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