Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Denver's highest temperature on April 3, with implied probabilities clustered tightly at 17-25% across 50-68°F ranges, driven by a recent pattern shift from record-shattering March heat—highs near 87°F—to cooler conditions via an incoming cold front and upper-level trough. National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 54°F amid mostly cloudy skies and slight shower chances, but ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF diverge on the low-pressure system's exact timing and strength, potentially allowing stronger diurnal heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation to push toward 60°F+ if mixing improves. Climatological April 3 normal is 57°F; cloud cover persistence and wind shear will differentiate outcomes. Watch NWS updates through April 1 for refined model runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on April 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?
60-61°F 25%
68°F or higher 20%
56-57°F 20%
54-55°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
49°F or below
7%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
20%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
18%
68°F or higher
15%
60-61°F 25%
68°F or higher 20%
56-57°F 20%
54-55°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
49°F or below
$5 Объем
7%
50-51°F
$0 Объем
18%
52-53°F
$0 Объем
17%
54-55°F
$2 Объем
19%
56-57°F
$0 Объем
20%
58-59°F
$0 Объем
19%
60-61°F
$41 Объем
25%
62-63°F
$0 Объем
11%
64-65°F
$0 Объем
10%
66-67°F
$0 Объем
18%
68°F or higher
$286 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Denver's highest temperature on April 3, with implied probabilities clustered tightly at 17-25% across 50-68°F ranges, driven by a recent pattern shift from record-shattering March heat—highs near 87°F—to cooler conditions via an incoming cold front and upper-level trough. National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 54°F amid mostly cloudy skies and slight shower chances, but ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF diverge on the low-pressure system's exact timing and strength, potentially allowing stronger diurnal heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation to push toward 60°F+ if mixing improves. Climatological April 3 normal is 57°F; cloud cover persistence and wind shear will differentiate outcomes. Watch NWS updates through April 1 for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Объем
$335Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Denver's highest temperature on April 3, with implied probabilities clustered tightly at 17-25% across 50-68°F ranges, driven by a recent pattern shift from record-shattering March heat—highs near 87°F—to cooler conditions via an incoming cold front and upper-level trough. National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 54°F amid mostly cloudy skies and slight shower chances, but ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF diverge on the low-pressure system's exact timing and strength, potentially allowing stronger diurnal heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation to push toward 60°F+ if mixing improves. Climatological April 3 normal is 57°F; cloud cover persistence and wind shear will differentiate outcomes. Watch NWS updates through April 1 for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$335Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Denver's highest temperature on April 3, with implied probabilities clustered tightly at 17-25% across 50-68°F ranges, driven by a recent pattern shift from record-shattering March heat—highs near 87°F—to cooler conditions via an incoming cold front and upper-level trough. National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 54°F amid mostly cloudy skies and slight shower chances, but ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF diverge on the low-pressure system's exact timing and strength, potentially allowing stronger diurnal heating at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation to push toward 60°F+ if mixing improves. Climatological April 3 normal is 57°F; cloud cover persistence and wind shear will differentiate outcomes. Watch NWS updates through April 1 for refined model runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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