Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 at 21-22°C, anchoring trader consensus with 32% implied probability on 21°C and 28.5% on 22°C amid tight clustering that underscores short-range uncertainty. A persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe drives this mild outlook through clear skies, extended insolation, and southerly advection of warmer air masses, well above the early April climatological average of 13°C from Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) records. Differentiating factors include model spreads in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential cumulus cloud development, which could limit peaks to 21°C or permit 22°C under sunnier conditions; urban heat island effects in official station measurements add nuance. Watch DWD updates and new 12Z model runs on April 4 for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
21°C 32%
22°C 28%
23°C 18%
20°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
16%
21°C
32%
22°C
28%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
7%
21°C 32%
22°C 28%
23°C 18%
20°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$754 Объем
<1%
15°C
$453 Объем
<1%
16°C
$326 Объем
<1%
17°C
$319 Объем
2%
18°C
$644 Объем
2%
19°C
$781 Объем
9%
20°C
$855 Объем
16%
21°C
$845 Объем
32%
22°C
$1,339 Объем
28%
23°C
$639 Объем
18%
24°C or higher
$595 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 at 21-22°C, anchoring trader consensus with 32% implied probability on 21°C and 28.5% on 22°C amid tight clustering that underscores short-range uncertainty. A persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe drives this mild outlook through clear skies, extended insolation, and southerly advection of warmer air masses, well above the early April climatological average of 13°C from Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) records. Differentiating factors include model spreads in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential cumulus cloud development, which could limit peaks to 21°C or permit 22°C under sunnier conditions; urban heat island effects in official station measurements add nuance. Watch DWD updates and new 12Z model runs on April 4 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$7,550Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 at 21-22°C, anchoring trader consensus with 32% implied probability on 21°C and 28.5% on 22°C amid tight clustering that underscores short-range uncertainty. A persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe drives this mild outlook through clear skies, extended insolation, and southerly advection of warmer air masses, well above the early April climatological average of 13°C from Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) records. Differentiating factors include model spreads in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential cumulus cloud development, which could limit peaks to 21°C or permit 22°C under sunnier conditions; urban heat island effects in official station measurements add nuance. Watch DWD updates and new 12Z model runs on April 4 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$7,550Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 at 21-22°C, anchoring trader consensus with 32% implied probability on 21°C and 28.5% on 22°C amid tight clustering that underscores short-range uncertainty. A persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe drives this mild outlook through clear skies, extended insolation, and southerly advection of warmer air masses, well above the early April climatological average of 13°C from Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) records. Differentiating factors include model spreads in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential cumulus cloud development, which could limit peaks to 21°C or permit 22°C under sunnier conditions; urban heat island effects in official station measurements add nuance. Watch DWD updates and new 12Z model runs on April 4 for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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