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NomeaçãO 2024 previsões e probabilidades

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$3M today

$53M Liq.

719

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$604M Vol.

$2M today

$25M Liq.

381

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

33%

$892 Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

2

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

14%

$1.3K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

1

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

10%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$12.2K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

26%

Marco Rubio

$6.3K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

<1%

$227K Vol.

$32.6K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 dias

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

68%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$7M Vol.

$82.2K today

$2M Liq.

101

Ends em 8 meses

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

82%

Delcy Rodríguez

$9.8K Vol.

$491K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

8%

$1M Vol.

$95.0K Liq.

38

Ends em 8 meses

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

4%

$52.9K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

5

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

49%

7

$73.4K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

5

Ends em 4 meses

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

28%

24–27

$31.6K Vol.

$44.0K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

41%

44+

$55.4K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

19%

53

$65.6K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$10.5K Vol.

$32.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

57%

Keith Sonderling

$40.5K Vol.

$82.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

32%

2

$2.8K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

76%

Thomas Massie

$688K Vol.

$96.2K today

$107K Liq.

40

Ends em 12 dias

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

Derek Merrin

$46.0K Vol.

2

Ends há 2 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like NomeaçãO 2024.

Polymarket currently hosts 252 active markets for NomeaçãO 2024 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on NomeaçãO 2024 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.