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Kamala Harris anunciará uma candidatura à presidência em 2028 até 30 de junho?

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Kamala Harris anunciará uma candidatura à presidência em 2028 até 30 de junho?

Sim

7% acaso
Polymarket

$28,724 Vol.

Sim

7% acaso
Polymarket

$28,724 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Vice President Kamala Harris has made no official announcement of a 2028 presidential run, with traders reflecting this absence in the 93.5% "No" implied probability ahead of the June 30 deadline. Her February interview teasing that she "might" pursue another bid, coupled with a recent book tour for "107 Days" and meetings like one with Salt Lake City Mayor Erin Mendenhall, keeps speculation alive but shows no exploratory committee, fundraising push, or campaign infrastructure formation typical of early launches. Rev. Al Sharpton's April comments touted her as a "potent force" in the Black community yet noted Democrats ignoring her, underscoring party hesitation post-2024 loss. With the 2028 cycle nascent, historical patterns favor later declarations, barring a sudden shift from scandals, polls, or endorsements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,724
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 4:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Vice President Kamala Harris has made no official announcement of a 2028 presidential run, with traders reflecting this absence in the 93.5% "No" implied probability ahead of the June 30 deadline. Her February interview teasing that she "might" pursue another bid, coupled with a recent book tour for "107 Days" and meetings like one with Salt Lake City Mayor Erin Mendenhall, keeps speculation alive but shows no exploratory committee, fundraising push, or campaign infrastructure formation typical of early launches. Rev. Al Sharpton's April comments touted her as a "potent force" in the Black community yet noted Democrats ignoring her, underscoring party hesitation post-2024 loss. With the 2028 cycle nascent, historical patterns favor later declarations, barring a sudden shift from scandals, polls, or endorsements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,724
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 4:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kamala Harris anunciará uma candidatura à presidência em 2028 até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kamala Harris anunciará uma candidatura à presidência em 2028 até 30 de junho?" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kamala Harris anunciará uma candidatura à presidência em 2028 até 30 de junho?" has generated $28.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kamala Harris anunciará uma candidatura à presidência em 2028 até 30 de junho?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Kamala Harris anunciará uma candidatura à presidência em 2028 até 30 de junho?" is "Kamala Harris anunciará uma candidatura à presidência em 2028 até 30 de junho?" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Kamala Harris anunciará uma candidatura à presidência em 2028 até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.