Early polling aggregates and prediction markets for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination currently place several male candidates, including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg, among the frontrunners, while Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trail in implied probabilities. Recent developments include the Democratic National Committee’s approval of a revised primary calendar starting in South Carolina, which has prompted early positioning among potential contenders without formal announcements. Trader consensus reflected in the 71.5% probability for a male nominee aligns with this spread of name recognition and general-election appeal assessments across a still-fluid field of governors, senators, and former officials.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA candidata presidencial democrata de 2028 será uma mulher?
Sim
Sim
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Early polling aggregates and prediction markets for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination currently place several male candidates, including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg, among the frontrunners, while Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trail in implied probabilities. Recent developments include the Democratic National Committee’s approval of a revised primary calendar starting in South Carolina, which has prompted early positioning among potential contenders without formal announcements. Trader consensus reflected in the 71.5% probability for a male nominee aligns with this spread of name recognition and general-election appeal assessments across a still-fluid field of governors, senators, and former officials.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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