Market icon
Política·Democratas

A candidata presidencial democrata de 2028 será uma mulher?

Market icon
Política·Democratas

A candidata presidencial democrata de 2028 será uma mulher?

Sim

19% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

19% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 76% for a female 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, reflecting post-2024 election dynamics after Kamala Harris's defeat, with early betting odds favoring male frontrunners like Gavin Newsom (25%) and Pete Buttigieg (4%) over women such as Harris (4%) and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (8%). A March 2026 Saint Anselm College poll in New Hampshire, an early primary state, showed Buttigieg leading at 29%, Newsom at 15%, AOC at 10%, and Harris at 6%, underscoring party strategists' push for centrist white male candidates amid electability concerns. National polling averages give Harris a 27% edge but diverge from skin-in-the-game market pricing. The 2026 midterms, testing governors like Newsom and Josh Shapiro, loom as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$177
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 76% for a female 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, reflecting post-2024 election dynamics after Kamala Harris's defeat, with early betting odds favoring male frontrunners like Gavin Newsom (25%) and Pete Buttigieg (4%) over women such as Harris (4%) and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (8%). A March 2026 Saint Anselm College poll in New Hampshire, an early primary state, showed Buttigieg leading at 29%, Newsom at 15%, AOC at 10%, and Harris at 6%, underscoring party strategists' push for centrist white male candidates amid electability concerns. National polling averages give Harris a 27% edge but diverge from skin-in-the-game market pricing. The 2026 midterms, testing governors like Newsom and Josh Shapiro, loom as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$177
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A candidata presidencial democrata de 2028 será uma mulher?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A indicada presidencial democrata de 2028 será uma mulher?" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"A candidata presidencial democrata de 2028 será uma mulher?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "A candidata presidencial democrata de 2028 será uma mulher?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A candidata presidencial democrata de 2028 será uma mulher?" is "A indicada presidencial democrata de 2028 será uma mulher?" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A candidata presidencial democrata de 2028 será uma mulher?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.