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Política·Kamala

O próximo presidente eleito dos EUA será uma mulher?

Market icon
Política·Kamala

O próximo presidente eleito dos EUA será uma mulher?

Sim

21% chance
Polymarket

$11,120 Vol.

Sim

21% chance
Polymarket

$11,120 Vol.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Trader consensus prices "No" at 79% for a female US president in 2028, reflecting Vice President JD Vance's strong Republican primary lead—around 35% in recent polls—and Democratic wariness post-Kamala Harris's 2024 defeat. Recent April polls, including McLaughlin & Associates (April 8-15), show Harris surging to 29% among likely Democratic primary voters, ahead of Gavin Newsom at 15% and Pete Buttigieg at 10%, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gretchen Whitmer at 4% each. Yet, party surveys and analyses from early April highlight ongoing concerns about nominating another woman, compounded by historical precedents and GOP incumbency advantages ahead of 2028 primaries.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$11,120
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Trader consensus prices "No" at 79% for a female US president in 2028, reflecting Vice President JD Vance's strong Republican primary lead—around 35% in recent polls—and Democratic wariness post-Kamala Harris's 2024 defeat. Recent April polls, including McLaughlin & Associates (April 8-15), show Harris surging to 29% among likely Democratic primary voters, ahead of Gavin Newsom at 15% and Pete Buttigieg at 10%, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gretchen Whitmer at 4% each. Yet, party surveys and analyses from early April highlight ongoing concerns about nominating another woman, compounded by historical precedents and GOP incumbency advantages ahead of 2028 primaries.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$11,120
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O próximo presidente eleito dos EUA será uma mulher?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "O próximo presidente eleito dos EUA será uma mulher?" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O próximo presidente eleito dos EUA será uma mulher?" has generated $11.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O próximo presidente eleito dos EUA será uma mulher?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O próximo presidente eleito dos EUA será uma mulher?" is "O próximo presidente eleito dos EUA será uma mulher?" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O próximo presidente eleito dos EUA será uma mulher?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.