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Política·Trump

A nomeação de Kevin Warsh para presidente do Fed foi retirada até 15 de maio?

Market icon
Política·Trump

A nomeação de Kevin Warsh para presidente do Fed foi retirada até 15 de maio?

Sim

2% acaso
Polymarket

$65,658 Vol.

Sim

2% acaso
Polymarket

$65,658 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on March 4 has solidified trader consensus against withdrawal by May 15, with "No" shares reflecting 97.9% implied probability amid procedural Senate delays rather than substantive opposition. Sen. Thom Tillis's hold, tied to a DOJ probe into Jerome Powell's Fed renovations, eased after a federal judge quashed subpoenas on March 13, citing lack of evidence, yet Tillis insists on resolution before advancing. Powell has affirmed serving as chair pro tem if unconfirmed by term's end, minimizing transition risks. No public signals from the White House indicate retreat; confirmation hinges on upcoming Senate Banking Committee hearings. Realistic shifts could arise from GOP holdouts, Warsh scandals, or Trump pivoting to another nominee like Scott Bessent, though historical patterns favor nominees without major controversies.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.

If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,658
Data de Término
15 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on March 4 has solidified trader consensus against withdrawal by May 15, with "No" shares reflecting 97.9% implied probability amid procedural Senate delays rather than substantive opposition. Sen. Thom Tillis's hold, tied to a DOJ probe into Jerome Powell's Fed renovations, eased after a federal judge quashed subpoenas on March 13, citing lack of evidence, yet Tillis insists on resolution before advancing. Powell has affirmed serving as chair pro tem if unconfirmed by term's end, minimizing transition risks. No public signals from the White House indicate retreat; confirmation hinges on upcoming Senate Banking Committee hearings. Realistic shifts could arise from GOP holdouts, Warsh scandals, or Trump pivoting to another nominee like Scott Bessent, though historical patterns favor nominees without major controversies.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.

If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,658
Data de Término
15 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A nomeação de Kevin Warsh para presidente do Fed foi retirada até 15 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Indicação de Kevin Warsh para presidente do Fed retirada até 15 de maio?" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A nomeação de Kevin Warsh para presidente do Fed foi retirada até 15 de maio?" has generated $65.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A nomeação de Kevin Warsh para presidente do Fed foi retirada até 15 de maio?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "A nomeação de Kevin Warsh para presidente do Fed foi retirada até 15 de maio?" is "Indicação de Kevin Warsh para presidente do Fed retirada até 15 de maio?" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "A nomeação de Kevin Warsh para presidente do Fed foi retirada até 15 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.