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Military Invasion predictions & odds

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Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

93%

$541K Vol.

$66.0K Liq.

59

Ends in 2 months

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

11%

$88.0K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

8%

$101K Vol.

$78.2K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

10%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

7%

$44.9K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

23%

$207K Vol.

$71.7K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$593K Vol.

$34.8K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

7%

$284K Vol.

$229K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

13%

December 31

$14M Vol.

$38.7K Liq.

1,176

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

7%

$25.1K Vol.

$31.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

3%

$6M Vol.

$147K today

$318K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

19%

$279K Vol.

$245K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

9%

$20M Vol.

$290K today

$844K Liq.

71

Ends in 9 months

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?

100%

$50.1K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

16%

$64.0K Vol.

$134K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

3%

April 30

$136K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 14 days

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$278K Vol.

$33.7K Liq.

15

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$64.7K Liq.

57

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

6%

$32.1K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

33%

$11M Vol.

$694K today

$528K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Military Invasion.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Military Invasion that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $57.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 91% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Military Invasion predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.