The White House announcement on March 25 rescheduling President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing for May 14-15—delayed from late March due to the ongoing US-Iran conflict—drives trader consensus, positioning May 13 (37.5%) and May 14 (23.0%) as frontrunners amid expectations of minor date flexibility for diplomatic logistics. "No visit by May 31" at 24.0% reflects lingering uncertainty from stalled Iran negotiations, where Trump seeks China's assistance to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, as noted in recent USTR statements and April reports. Ongoing military tensions in Iran keep probabilities competitive below 50%, with no fresh cancellations but potential for shifts before the mid-May window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Trump visit China on...?
Will Trump visit China on...?
May 13 38%
No visit by May 31 24%
May 14 23%
May 15 4.9%
NEW
$53,977 Vol.
NEW
$53,977 Vol.
May 31, 2026
On or prior to May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
1%
May 9
1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
<1%
May 13
38%
May 14
23%
May 15
5%
May 16
4%
May 17
1%
May 18
1%
May 19
1%
May 20
1%
May 21
1%
May 22
1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
<1%
May 25
<1%
May 26
2%
May 27
<1%
May 28
<1%
May 29
<1%
May 30
<1%
May 31
1%
No visit by May 31
24%
May 13 38%
No visit by May 31 24%
May 14 23%
May 15 4.9%
NEW
$53,977 Vol.
NEW
$53,977 Vol.
May 31, 2026
On or prior to May 1
$4,936 Vol.
<1%
May 2
$1,440 Vol.
<1%
May 3
$1,440 Vol.
<1%
May 4
$1,596 Vol.
<1%
May 5
$1,449 Vol.
<1%
May 6
$1,449 Vol.
<1%
May 7
$1,462 Vol.
<1%
May 8
$1,793 Vol.
1%
May 9
$1,380 Vol.
1%
May 10
$1,059 Vol.
<1%
May 11
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
May 12
$1,406 Vol.
<1%
May 13
$3,519 Vol.
38%
May 14
$2,284 Vol.
23%
May 15
$2,676 Vol.
5%
May 16
$1,870 Vol.
4%
May 17
$1,321 Vol.
1%
May 18
$1,334 Vol.
1%
May 19
$1,609 Vol.
1%
May 20
$1,934 Vol.
1%
May 21
$1,324 Vol.
1%
May 22
$1,341 Vol.
1%
May 23
$1,205 Vol.
<1%
May 24
$1,132 Vol.
<1%
May 25
$1,192 Vol.
<1%
May 26
$1,319 Vol.
2%
May 27
$1,120 Vol.
<1%
May 28
$1,170 Vol.
<1%
May 29
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
May 30
$1,174 Vol.
<1%
May 31
$1,290 Vol.
1%
No visit by May 31
$3,734 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The White House announcement on March 25 rescheduling President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing for May 14-15—delayed from late March due to the ongoing US-Iran conflict—drives trader consensus, positioning May 13 (37.5%) and May 14 (23.0%) as frontrunners amid expectations of minor date flexibility for diplomatic logistics. "No visit by May 31" at 24.0% reflects lingering uncertainty from stalled Iran negotiations, where Trump seeks China's assistance to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, as noted in recent USTR statements and April reports. Ongoing military tensions in Iran keep probabilities competitive below 50%, with no fresh cancellations but potential for shifts before the mid-May window closes.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Volume
$53,977End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The White House announcement on March 25 rescheduling President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing for May 14-15—delayed from late March due to the ongoing US-Iran conflict—drives trader consensus, positioning May 13 (37.5%) and May 14 (23.0%) as frontrunners amid expectations of minor date flexibility for diplomatic logistics. "No visit by May 31" at 24.0% reflects lingering uncertainty from stalled Iran negotiations, where Trump seeks China's assistance to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, as noted in recent USTR statements and April reports. Ongoing military tensions in Iran keep probabilities competitive below 50%, with no fresh cancellations but potential for shifts before the mid-May window closes.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$53,977End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The White House announcement on March 25 rescheduling President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing for May 14-15—delayed from late March due to the ongoing US-Iran conflict—drives trader consensus, positioning May 13 (37.5%) and May 14 (23.0%) as frontrunners amid expectations of minor date flexibility for diplomatic logistics. "No visit by May 31" at 24.0% reflects lingering uncertainty from stalled Iran negotiations, where Trump seeks China's assistance to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, as noted in recent USTR statements and April reports. Ongoing military tensions in Iran keep probabilities competitive below 50%, with no fresh cancellations but potential for shifts before the mid-May window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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