Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

24%

$646K Vol.

$48.3K Liq.

26

Ends in 9 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

65%

↓ 3.25%

$817K Vol.

$204K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

Price of Dozen Eggs in March?

Price of Dozen Eggs in March?

53%

$2.25–2.50

$273K Vol.

$55.3K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

12%

Up

$4.2K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

78%

Up

$7.7K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

81%

Up

$0 Vol.

$901 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

33%

↑3.74%

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

78%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$712K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

35%

3.75%

$4M Vol.

$709K today

$244K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

77%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$14.2K Vol.

$47.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

97%

No change

$34M Vol.

$4M today

$4M Liq.

18

Ends in about 1 month

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

68%

December 31

$116K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

8

Ends in 9 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

39%

0 (0 bps)

$14M Vol.

$240K today

$1M Liq.

50

Ends in 9 months

Marco Rubio visits China by...?

Marco Rubio visits China by...?

69%

December 31

$47.8K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

62%

December Meeting

$1M Vol.

$182K Liq.

15

Ends in 3 months

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

20%

$65.4K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$38.9K Liq.

88

Ends in 3 months

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 6

$24.8K Vol.

$47.6K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

42%

↓ 30

$21.6K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

XRP Up or Down - February 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

XRP Up or Down - February 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Down

$816 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Macro Fed.

Polymarket currently hosts 134 active markets for Macro Fed that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed rate hike in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $58.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Macro Fed predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.