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Constitution predictions & odds

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Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

22%

$1.6K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

32%

$6.1K Vol.

$370 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 15)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (May 15)

93%

Anthropic

$596 Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

8%

$28.9K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

32%

$459 Vol.

$592 Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

96%

$331 Vol.

$232 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

10

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

86%

June 30

$28.7K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

44%

December 31, 2027

$477K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

33

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

14%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

6%

$9.5K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

80%

$82 Vol.

$164 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$74.3K today

$33.8K Liq.

49

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

10%

$23.9K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

91%

$122K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

99%

$715

$1.5K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?

100%

$730

$69.5K Vol.

$69.0K today

$81.3K Liq.

Ends in 33 minutes

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

73%

$39.3K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

17%

↑ $3

$642K Vol.

$39.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for Constitution that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Constitution predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.