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Censorship predictions & odds

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MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

10%

$567 Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

77%

December 31

$508K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

46

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

33

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

48%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$333K today

$235K Liq.

474

Ends in about 1 month

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

10

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

47%

↓ 38

$68.1K Vol.

$43.7K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

73%

↑ $640

$51.6K Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What price will Ethena hit in May?

What price will Ethena hit in May?

19%

↓ 0.08

$2.3K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$283 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

82%

June 30

$28.7K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

2%

$1M Vol.

$46.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

26%

May 31

$30.3K Vol.

$774 Liq.

4

Ends in 14 days

Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?

Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?

2%

$3.2K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 14 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$645K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

75%

$21.4K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

41%

Baby

$10.8K Vol.

$409 Liq.

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

8%

Dong Jun

$157K Vol.

$106K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$4.2K Vol.

$171K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Censorship.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Censorship that lets you track or trade on predictions like “MegaETH airdrop by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Censorship predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.