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2023 predictions & odds

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Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

<1%

Albania

$194M Vol.

$22M today

$15M Liq.

1,498

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

17%

France

$999M Vol.

$6M today

$234M Liq.

731

Ends in 2 months

Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

38%

200-219

$9M Vol.

$2M today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$1M today

$61M Liq.

733

Ends in over 2 years

2026 PGA Championship Winner

2026 PGA Championship Winner

17%

Alex Smalley

$5M Vol.

$2M today

$6M Liq.

28

Ends in about 21 hours

2026 NBA Champion

2026 NBA Champion

59%

Oklahoma City Thunder

$386M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

427

Ends in about 1 month

Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026?

19%

180-199

$4M Vol.

$1M today

$993K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

36%

J.D. Vance

$619M Vol.

$1M today

$31M Liq.

396

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$583M Vol.

$1M today

$30M Liq.

910

Ends in over 2 years

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

82%

Chong Won-oh

$40M Vol.

$443K today

$6M Liq.

184

Ends in 17 days

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$23M Vol.

$335K today

$980K Liq.

73

Ends in 8 months

MLB World Series Champion 2026

MLB World Series Champion 2026

25%

Los Angeles Dodgers

$23M Vol.

$270K today

$2M Liq.

21

Ends in 6 months

2026 Men's Australian Open Winner

2026 Men's Australian Open Winner

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$28M Vol.

$232K today

$2M Liq.

86

Elon Musk # tweets May 16 - May 18, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 16 - May 18, 2026?

50%

40-64

$297K Vol.

$230K today

$231K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

31%

$29M Vol.

$222K today

$832K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

71%

0 (0 bps)

$27M Vol.

$203K today

$1M Liq.

74

Ends in 8 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

1%

$8M Vol.

$197K today

$148K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

7%

$11M Vol.

$195K today

$2M Liq.

528

Ends in 8 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

65%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$8M Vol.

$194K today

$2M Liq.

107

Ends in 8 months

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

54%

Andy Burnham

$7M Vol.

$174K today

$1M Liq.

91

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 2023.

Polymarket currently hosts 2301 active markets for 2023 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Eurovision Winner 2026”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.1B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 2023 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.