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2023 predictions & odds

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2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

18%

France

$999M Vol.

$6M today

$235M Liq.

731

Ends in 2 months

Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

38%

200-219

$9M Vol.

$2M today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 2 days

2026 PGA Championship Winner

2026 PGA Championship Winner

17%

Alex Smalley

$5M Vol.

$2M today

$6M Liq.

28

Ends in about 19 hours

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$1M today

$61M Liq.

733

Ends in over 2 years

Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026?

19%

180-199

$4M Vol.

$1M today

$960K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

36%

J.D. Vance

$619M Vol.

$1M today

$30M Liq.

396

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$583M Vol.

$1M today

$30M Liq.

910

Ends in over 2 years

2026 NBA Champion

2026 NBA Champion

59%

Oklahoma City Thunder

$386M Vol.

$888K today

$2M Liq.

427

Ends in about 1 month

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

81%

Chong Won-oh

$40M Vol.

$468K today

$6M Liq.

184

Ends in 17 days

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$23M Vol.

$335K today

$980K Liq.

73

Ends in 8 months

MLB World Series Champion 2026

MLB World Series Champion 2026

25%

Los Angeles Dodgers

$23M Vol.

$276K today

$2M Liq.

21

Ends in 6 months

Elon Musk # tweets May 16 - May 18, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 16 - May 18, 2026?

57%

40-64

$313K Vol.

$234K today

$265K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

2026 Men's Australian Open Winner

2026 Men's Australian Open Winner

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$28M Vol.

$232K today

$2M Liq.

86

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

71%

0 (0 bps)

$27M Vol.

$206K today

$1M Liq.

74

Ends in 8 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

1%

$8M Vol.

$199K today

$155K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

31%

$29M Vol.

$194K today

$838K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

65%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$8M Vol.

$193K today

$2M Liq.

107

Ends in 8 months

2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

40%

Colorado Avalanche

$78M Vol.

$190K today

$432K Liq.

78

Ends in about 1 month

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

7%

$11M Vol.

$192K today

$2M Liq.

529

Ends in 8 months

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

54%

Andy Burnham

$7M Vol.

$170K today

$1M Liq.

91

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 2023.

Polymarket currently hosts 2284 active markets for 2023 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.0B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 2023 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.