Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 51%

Naftali Bennett 34%

Gadi Eizenkot 5.7%

Yair Lapid 4.0%

$790,518 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Benjamin Netanyahu
$133,714 Vol.
51%

Naftali Bennett
$241,151 Vol.
34%

Gadi Eizenkot
$23,654 Vol.
6%

Yair Lapid
$23,004 Vol.
4%

Yair Golan
$46,137 Vol.
2%

Avigdor Lieberman
$112,970 Vol.
2%

Yossi Cohen
$28,340 Vol.
1%

Gideon Sa’ar
$118,082 Vol.
1%

Yariv Levin
$18,789 Vol.
1%

Benny Gantz
$12,185 Vol.
<1%

Moshe Feiglin
$10,459 Vol.
<1%

Ayelet Shaked
$3,587 Vol.
<1%

Yoaz Hendel
$4,082 Vol.
<1%

Itamar Ben Gvir
$14,362 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 51%

Naftali Bennett 34%

Gadi Eizenkot 5.7%

Yair Lapid 4.0%

$790,518 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Benjamin Netanyahu

$133,714 Vol.

51%

Naftali Bennett

$241,151 Vol.

34%

Gadi Eizenkot

$23,654 Vol.

Yair Lapid

$23,004 Vol.

Yair Golan

$46,137 Vol.

Avigdor Lieberman

$112,970 Vol.

Yossi Cohen

$28,340 Vol.

Gideon Sa’ar

$118,082 Vol.

Yariv Levin

$18,789 Vol.

Benny Gantz

$12,185 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$10,459 Vol.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$3,587 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$4,082 Vol.

<1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$14,362 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$790,518

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?

49%

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

78%

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

67%

Beware of external links.