President Trump's diplomatic outreach amid the escalating US-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz has shaped trader consensus in this market, with recent confirmations driving sentiment. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte disclosed multiple conversations with Trump in the past week following alliance criticisms for inaction, bolstering expectations of verified interaction. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman held a confirmed March 1 phone call and subsequent reported discussions urging sustained pressure on Iran, while earlier talks occurred with Russia's Vladimir Putin on March 9 and India's Narendra Modi on March 24. With resolution looming on March 31 via official sources, last-minute diplomacy—such as potential calls with China's Xi Jinping or Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelenskyy—remains a key uncertainty amid global alliance maneuvering.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$316,237 Vol.

Mark Rutte
48%

Mohammed bin Salman
27%

Xi Jinping
25%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
14%

Pope Leo XIV
13%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
24%

Reza Pahlavi
6%

Masoud Pezeshkian
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%

Kim Jong Un
1%

Nicolás Maduro
<1%

MrBeast
<1%
$316,237 Vol.

Mark Rutte
48%

Mohammed bin Salman
27%

Xi Jinping
25%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
14%

Pope Leo XIV
13%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
24%

Reza Pahlavi
6%

Masoud Pezeshkian
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%

Kim Jong Un
1%

Nicolás Maduro
<1%

MrBeast
<1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's diplomatic outreach amid the escalating US-Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz has shaped trader consensus in this market, with recent confirmations driving sentiment. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte disclosed multiple conversations with Trump in the past week following alliance criticisms for inaction, bolstering expectations of verified interaction. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman held a confirmed March 1 phone call and subsequent reported discussions urging sustained pressure on Iran, while earlier talks occurred with Russia's Vladimir Putin on March 9 and India's Narendra Modi on March 24. With resolution looming on March 31 via official sources, last-minute diplomacy—such as potential calls with China's Xi Jinping or Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelenskyy—remains a key uncertainty amid global alliance maneuvering.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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