Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$73,417,590 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 21%

Christopher Waller 12.1%

Rick Rieder 7.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$73,417,590
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$73,417,590 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 21%

Christopher Waller 12.1%

Rick Rieder 7.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,653,829 Vol.

56%

Kevin Warsh

$1,973,428 Vol.

21%

Christopher Waller

$2,057,512 Vol.

12%

Rick Rieder

$1,372,790 Vol.

7%

Scott Bessent

$1,591,339 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$1,639,980 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,280,091 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,461,999 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,690,263 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,326,184 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$536,521 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$692,572 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,377,080 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$763,738 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$569,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,519,735 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,140,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,245,543 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,421 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,491,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$11,273,429 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$183,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,125,612 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$73,417,590
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.