Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 97.8%

Judy Shelton 1.6%

Christopher Waller <1%

Rick Rieder <1%

$395,454,970 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$30,081,893 Vol.
98%

Judy Shelton
$49,278,849 Vol.
2%

Christopher Waller
$16,801,410 Vol.
<1%

Rick Rieder
$18,685,611 Vol.
<1%

Kevin Hassett
$22,558,569 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$22,712,930 Vol.
<1%

Michelle Bowman
$15,549,717 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,567,141 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$5,965,553 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,433,975 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,972,373 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,118,186 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,385,047 Vol.
<1%

Stephen Miran
$12,192,474 Vol.
<1%

Scott Bessent
$14,709,757 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,453,589 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$4,146,874 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$17,767,393 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,565,387 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,601,250 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$21,091,343 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,895,673 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$20,734,663 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$23,294,798 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$8,886,561 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final review

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 97.8%

Judy Shelton 1.6%

Christopher Waller <1%

Rick Rieder <1%

$395,454,970 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$30,081,893 Vol.

98%

Judy Shelton

$49,278,849 Vol.

Christopher Waller

$16,801,410 Vol.

<1%

Rick Rieder

$18,685,611 Vol.

<1%

Kevin Hassett

$22,558,569 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$22,712,930 Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bowman

$15,549,717 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,567,141 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$5,965,553 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,433,975 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,972,373 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,118,186 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,385,047 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$12,192,474 Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$14,709,757 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,453,589 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4,146,874 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17,767,393 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,565,387 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,601,250 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$21,091,343 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,895,673 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20,734,663 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$23,294,798 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$8,886,561 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$395,454,970

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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