Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$137,709,334 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 40%

Kevin Warsh 39%

Christopher Waller 11.0%

Rick Rieder 4.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$137,709,334
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$137,709,334 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 40%

Kevin Warsh 39%

Christopher Waller 11.0%

Rick Rieder 4.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$7,960,349 Vol.

40%

Kevin Warsh

$3,840,541 Vol.

39%

Christopher Waller

$3,198,907 Vol.

11%

Rick Rieder

$2,358,229 Vol.

5%

Judy Shelton

$3,380,497 Vol.

2%

Scott Bessent

$3,084,820 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$2,702,352 Vol.

2%

David Malpass

$2,101,504 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$2,671,453 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$1,635,552 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$2,632,407 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,872,937 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,245,830 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$7,800,319 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,757,769 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$4,125,419 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,682,539 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,281,192 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,905,930 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,866,074 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$4,515,158 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$19,390,427 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$4,980,059 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$12,155,421 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$18,558,785 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$137,709,334
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.