Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$68,763,165 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 24%

Christopher Waller 16.5%

Scott Bessent 4.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68,763,165
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$68,763,165 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 24%

Christopher Waller 16.5%

Scott Bessent 4.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,087,597 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$1,822,321 Vol.

24%

Christopher Waller

$1,805,142 Vol.

17%

Scott Bessent

$1,359,906 Vol.

4%

Rick Rieder

$1,170,136 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$1,361,498 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$1,508,588 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$1,155,582 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,137,375 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,298,533 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,158,851 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,332,594 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$739,343 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$566,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,517,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,138,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,203,600 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,340,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$279,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,489,817 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$9,599,517 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$779,506 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$177,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,109,562 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$618,552 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$68,763,165
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.