Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$137,668,587 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 40%

Kevin Warsh 39%

Christopher Waller 11.2%

Rick Rieder 5.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$137,668,587
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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$137,668,587 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 40%

Kevin Warsh 39%

Christopher Waller 11.2%

Rick Rieder 5.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$7,957,259 Vol.

40%

Kevin Warsh

$3,837,118 Vol.

39%

Christopher Waller

$3,195,714 Vol.

11%

Rick Rieder

$2,355,167 Vol.

5%

Judy Shelton

$3,377,413 Vol.

2%

Scott Bessent

$3,081,731 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$2,699,149 Vol.

2%

David Malpass

$2,098,444 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$2,668,407 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$1,630,617 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$2,627,796 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,872,937 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,245,830 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$7,800,319 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,757,313 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$4,125,419 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,682,539 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,281,192 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,905,916 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,866,074 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$4,515,158 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$19,390,427 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$4,980,059 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$12,155,421 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$18,558,785 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$137,668,587
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.