Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$68,789,270 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 25%

Christopher Waller 16.1%

Scott Bessent 3.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68,789,270
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$68,789,270 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 25%

Christopher Waller 16.1%

Scott Bessent 3.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,089,181 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$1,823,653 Vol.

25%

Christopher Waller

$1,805,964 Vol.

16%

Scott Bessent

$1,360,566 Vol.

4%

Rick Rieder

$1,170,938 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$1,382,353 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$1,508,828 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$1,155,862 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,137,605 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,299,024 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,159,340 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,332,594 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$739,343 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$566,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,517,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,138,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,203,600 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,340,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$279,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,489,817 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$9,599,517 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$779,506 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$177,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,109,562 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$618,552 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$68,789,270
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.