Costa Rica Presidential Election

$427,115 Vol.

Feb 1, 2026

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado 85%

Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo 10.2%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves 3.2%

Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes <1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado
$150,971 Vol.
85%

Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo
$16,201 Vol.
10%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves
$24,803 Vol.
3%

Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes
$13,851 Vol.
1%

Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes
$59,783 Vol.
<1%

Natalia Díaz Quintana
$11,568 Vol.
<1%

Gerardo Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz
$12,571 Vol.
<1%

Fernando Zamora Castellanos
$11,224 Vol.
<1%

Douglas Caamaño Quirós
$16,948 Vol.
<1%

Walter Rubén Hernández Juárez
$35,138 Vol.
<1%

Luis Esteban Amador Jiménez
$12,094 Vol.
<1%

Claudio Alberto Alpízar Otoya
$19,074 Vol.
<1%

Eliécer Feinzaig Mintz
$9,986 Vol.
<1%

Boris Molina Acevedo
$11,048 Vol.
<1%

David Hernández Brenes
$10,000 Vol.
<1%

Marco David Rodríguez Badilla
$11,857 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html).

Created At: Nov 11, 2025, 12:11 PM ET

Volume

$427,115

End Date

Feb 1, 2026

Created At

Nov 11, 2025, 12:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$427,115 Vol.

Feb 1, 2026

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado 85%

Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo 10.2%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves 3.2%

Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes <1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

$150,971 Vol.

85%

Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo

$16,201 Vol.

10%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

$24,803 Vol.

Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes

$13,851 Vol.

Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes

$59,783 Vol.

<1%

Natalia Díaz Quintana

$11,568 Vol.

<1%

Gerardo Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz

$12,571 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Zamora Castellanos

$11,224 Vol.

<1%

Douglas Caamaño Quirós

$16,948 Vol.

<1%

Walter Rubén Hernández Juárez

$35,138 Vol.

<1%

Luis Esteban Amador Jiménez

$12,094 Vol.

<1%

Claudio Alberto Alpízar Otoya

$19,074 Vol.

<1%

Eliécer Feinzaig Mintz

$9,986 Vol.

<1%

Boris Molina Acevedo

$11,048 Vol.

<1%

David Hernández Brenes

$10,000 Vol.

<1%

Marco David Rodríguez Badilla

$11,857 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$427,115

End Date

Feb 1, 2026

Created At

Nov 11, 2025, 12:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 58% and 60%?

23%

Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

94%

Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

70%

Beware of external links.

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado
$150,971 Vol.
85%

Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo
$16,201 Vol.
10%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves
$24,803 Vol.
3%

Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes
$13,851 Vol.
1%

Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes
$59,783 Vol.
<1%

Natalia Díaz Quintana
$11,568 Vol.
<1%

Gerardo Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz
$12,571 Vol.
<1%

Fernando Zamora Castellanos
$11,224 Vol.
<1%

Douglas Caamaño Quirós
$16,948 Vol.
<1%

Walter Rubén Hernández Juárez
$35,138 Vol.
<1%

Luis Esteban Amador Jiménez
$12,094 Vol.
<1%

Claudio Alberto Alpízar Otoya
$19,074 Vol.
<1%

Eliécer Feinzaig Mintz
$9,986 Vol.
<1%

Boris Molina Acevedo
$11,048 Vol.
<1%

David Hernández Brenes
$10,000 Vol.
<1%

Marco David Rodríguez Badilla
$11,857 Vol.
<1%

Market Context