Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

$844,967 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

André Ventura (CH) 40%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 27%

António José Seguro (IND) 22.7%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 6.7%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

André Ventura (CH)
$69,877 Vol.
40%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$65,652 Vol.
27%

António José Seguro (IND)
$94,115 Vol.
23%
0123456789
%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$67,335 Vol.
7%
0123456789
%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$69,536 Vol.
6%
0123456789
%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$20,591 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$24,948 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$20,150 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$24,956 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$28,668 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$25,327 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$49,378 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$17,443 Vol.
<1%

Humberto Correia
$12,586 Vol.
<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$22,017 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$34,188 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$18,480 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$28,553 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$45,033 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$20,639 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$20,066 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$30,756 Vol.
<1%

Manuel João Vieira
$12,437 Vol.
<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$22,237 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Volume

$844,967

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$844,967 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

André Ventura (CH) 40%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 27%

António José Seguro (IND) 22.7%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 6.7%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

André Ventura (CH)

$69,877 Vol.

40%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$65,652 Vol.

27%

António José Seguro (IND)

$94,115 Vol.

23%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$67,335 Vol.

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$69,536 Vol.

Catarina Martins (BE)

$20,591 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$24,948 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$20,150 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$24,956 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$28,668 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$25,327 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$49,378 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$17,443 Vol.

<1%

Humberto Correia

$12,586 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$22,017 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$34,188 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$18,480 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$28,553 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$45,033 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$20,639 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$20,066 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$30,756 Vol.

<1%

Manuel João Vieira

$12,437 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$22,237 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$844,967

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

29%

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

48%

Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?

28%

Beware of external links.