India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast of a 36°C maximum temperature in Lucknow on March 29 under mainly clear skies, following partly cloudy conditions on March 28, anchors trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 36°C slightly ahead of 35°C at 30.5%, reflecting anticipated rebound from recent cooling. Light rainfall (2.6 mm past 24 hours as of March 27) and cloud cover depressed the March 27 high to 30.6°C (-4.6°C below normal), but dropping relative humidity (70% morning to 40% evening) and reduced cloudiness favor greater solar insolation. Close odds highlight scientific uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, influenced by residual soil moisture, light winds, and urban heat effects at Lucknow Airport observation site—historical late-March averages near 34°C show variability on clear days. Watch IMD's March 28 update for refined model guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 29?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 29?
36°C 37%
35°C 31%
34°C or below 18%
37°C 12%
$41,568 Vol.
$41,568 Vol.
34°C or below
18%
35°C
31%
36°C
37%
37°C
12%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 31%
34°C or below 18%
37°C 12%
$41,568 Vol.
$41,568 Vol.
34°C or below
18%
35°C
31%
36°C
37%
37°C
12%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast of a 36°C maximum temperature in Lucknow on March 29 under mainly clear skies, following partly cloudy conditions on March 28, anchors trader consensus with 38.5% implied probability for 36°C slightly ahead of 35°C at 30.5%, reflecting anticipated rebound from recent cooling. Light rainfall (2.6 mm past 24 hours as of March 27) and cloud cover depressed the March 27 high to 30.6°C (-4.6°C below normal), but dropping relative humidity (70% morning to 40% evening) and reduced cloudiness favor greater solar insolation. Close odds highlight scientific uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, influenced by residual soil moisture, light winds, and urban heat effects at Lucknow Airport observation site—historical late-March averages near 34°C show variability on clear days. Watch IMD's March 28 update for refined model guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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