Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly on 35°C (26.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) as the most likely highest temperatures in Lucknow on March 29, reflecting the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting daytime highs in the mid-30s amid persistent clear skies and continental air promoting strong diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in global model ensembles—GFS leaning slightly cooler at 35°C with potential afternoon clouding, while ECMWF edges toward 36°C under sustained solar insolation and low humidity below 40%. Late-March climatology for Lucknow averages 33–35°C, but recent warming trends and minimal wind shear heighten uncertainty, with new observational data from IMD stations expected by evening to refine probabilities further before resolution based on official airport readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 29?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 29?
36°C 28%
35°C 27%
34°C or below 18%
37°C 13%
34°C or below
18%
35°C
27%
36°C
28%
37°C
18%
38°C
7%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 28%
35°C 27%
34°C or below 18%
37°C 13%
34°C or below
18%
35°C
27%
36°C
28%
37°C
18%
38°C
7%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly on 35°C (26.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) as the most likely highest temperatures in Lucknow on March 29, reflecting the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting daytime highs in the mid-30s amid persistent clear skies and continental air promoting strong diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in global model ensembles—GFS leaning slightly cooler at 35°C with potential afternoon clouding, while ECMWF edges toward 36°C under sustained solar insolation and low humidity below 40%. Late-March climatology for Lucknow averages 33–35°C, but recent warming trends and minimal wind shear heighten uncertainty, with new observational data from IMD stations expected by evening to refine probabilities further before resolution based on official airport readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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