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Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

84-85°F 41%

86-87°F 24%

82-83°F 16%

80-81°F 7%

Polymarket

$25,141 Vol.

84-85°F 41%

86-87°F 24%

82-83°F 16%

80-81°F 7%

Polymarket

$25,141 Vol.

73°F or below

$3,876 Vol.

<1%

74-75°F

$4,529 Vol.

1%

76-77°F

$2,296 Vol.

1%

78-79°F

$1,934 Vol.

3%

80-81°F

$1,482 Vol.

7%

82-83°F

$1,418 Vol.

16%

84-85°F

$1,467 Vol.

41%

86-87°F

$1,474 Vol.

24%

88-89°F

$1,045 Vol.

3%

90-91°F

$3,113 Vol.

2%

92°F or higher

$2,512 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 85°F for Austin on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F at 41.5% implied probability, with nearby bins like 86-87°F (23.5%) gaining support amid model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. A recent cold front on March 27-28 briefly dropped highs to the 60s-70s with northerly winds, but an upper-level ridge rebuilding over South Texas will shift to southerly flow, transporting warm, moist Gulf air while clear skies maximize solar heating—well above the late-March climatological normal of 76°F. March 2026's record-shattering warmth, averaging 7°F above normal with multiple highs in the 90s earlier this month, reinforces this positioning. New evening model runs could refine exact peak, but low precipitation odds limit downside risk.

National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 85°F for Austin on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F at 41.5% implied probability, with nearby bins like 86-87°F (23.5%) gaining support amid model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. A recent cold front on March 27-28 briefly dropped highs to the 60s-70s with northerly winds, but an upper-level ridge rebuilding over South Texas will shift to southerly flow, transporting warm, moist Gulf air while clear skies maximize solar heating—well above the late-March climatological normal of 76°F. March 2026's record-shattering warmth, averaging 7°F above normal with multiple highs in the 90s earlier this month, reinforces this positioning. New evening model runs could refine exact peak, but low precipitation odds limit downside risk.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 85°F for Austin on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F at 41.5% implied probability, with nearby bins like 86-87°F (23.5%) gaining support amid model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. A recent cold front on March 27-28 briefly dropped highs to the 60s-70s with northerly winds, but an upper-level ridge rebuilding over South Texas will shift to southerly flow, transporting warm, moist Gulf air while clear skies maximize solar heating—well above the late-March climatological normal of 76°F. March 2026's record-shattering warmth, averaging 7°F above normal with multiple highs in the 90s earlier this month, reinforces this positioning. New evening model runs could refine exact peak, but low precipitation odds limit downside risk.

National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 85°F for Austin on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F at 41.5% implied probability, with nearby bins like 86-87°F (23.5%) gaining support amid model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. A recent cold front on March 27-28 briefly dropped highs to the 60s-70s with northerly winds, but an upper-level ridge rebuilding over South Texas will shift to southerly flow, transporting warm, moist Gulf air while clear skies maximize solar heating—well above the late-March climatological normal of 76°F. March 2026's record-shattering warmth, averaging 7°F above normal with multiple highs in the 90s earlier this month, reinforces this positioning. New evening model runs could refine exact peak, but low precipitation odds limit downside risk.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "84-85°F" at 41%, followed by "86-87°F" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?" has generated $25.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?" is "84-85°F" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "86-87°F" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.