Park Sung-jae, a senior secretary for political affairs in President Yoon Suk-yeol's office until his February 2024 resignation amid a special counsel probe into alleged election law violations during the 2022 presidential campaign, faces no active charges or detention warrant as the March 31 deadline nears. Prosecutors have not sought his arrest despite investigating claims of illegal polling data use and staff mobilization, with procedural delays typical in South Korea's judicial system—where indictments often take months and pre-trial detention requires strong evidence of flight risk or evidence tampering—bolstering trader consensus at 99.4% for "No." Only a sudden prosecutorial move, such as an emergency arrest warrant or explosive new testimony, could shift odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$28,389 Vol.
$28,389 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
はい
$28,389 Vol.
$28,389 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Park Sung-jae, a senior secretary for political affairs in President Yoon Suk-yeol's office until his February 2024 resignation amid a special counsel probe into alleged election law violations during the 2022 presidential campaign, faces no active charges or detention warrant as the March 31 deadline nears. Prosecutors have not sought his arrest despite investigating claims of illegal polling data use and staff mobilization, with procedural delays typical in South Korea's judicial system—where indictments often take months and pre-trial detention requires strong evidence of flight risk or evidence tampering—bolstering trader consensus at 99.4% for "No." Only a sudden prosecutorial move, such as an emergency arrest warrant or explosive new testimony, could shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 14, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
音量
$28,389終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 14, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Park Sung-jae, a senior secretary for political affairs in President Yoon Suk-yeol's office until his February 2024 resignation amid a special counsel probe into alleged election law violations during the 2022 presidential campaign, faces no active charges or detention warrant as the March 31 deadline nears. Prosecutors have not sought his arrest despite investigating claims of illegal polling data use and staff mobilization, with procedural delays typical in South Korea's judicial system—where indictments often take months and pre-trial detention requires strong evidence of flight risk or evidence tampering—bolstering trader consensus at 99.4% for "No." Only a sudden prosecutorial move, such as an emergency arrest warrant or explosive new testimony, could shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$28,389終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 14, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Park Sung-jae, a senior secretary for political affairs in President Yoon Suk-yeol's office until his February 2024 resignation amid a special counsel probe into alleged election law violations during the 2022 presidential campaign, faces no active charges or detention warrant as the March 31 deadline nears. Prosecutors have not sought his arrest despite investigating claims of illegal polling data use and staff mobilization, with procedural delays typical in South Korea's judicial system—where indictments often take months and pre-trial detention requires strong evidence of flight risk or evidence tampering—bolstering trader consensus at 99.4% for "No." Only a sudden prosecutorial move, such as an emergency arrest warrant or explosive new testimony, could shift odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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