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Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Name: Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Start: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Dec 31

15% chance

$47,591 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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