Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?

<1% chance

$55,130 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any law is singed into effect that repeals, alters, or extends presidential term limits in a way that would allow Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to serve more than two terms, or if Turkey’s Constitutional Court or another court with binding authority issues a ruling that permits a president to serve more than two terms, by July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM local time in Turkey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$55,130
End Date
Jul 31, 2025
Created At
Mar 21, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any law is singed into effect that repeals, alters, or extends presidential term limits in a way that would allow Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to serve more than two terms, or if Turkey’s Constitutional Court or another court with binding authority issues a ruling that permits a president to serve more than two terms, by July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM local time in Turkey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?

<1% chance

$55,130 Vol.

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any law is singed into effect that repeals, alters, or extends presidential term limits in a way that would allow Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to serve more than two terms, or if Turkey’s Constitutional Court or another court with binding authority issues a ruling that permits a president to serve more than two terms, by July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM local time in Turkey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$55,130
End Date
Jul 31, 2025
Created At
Mar 21, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any law is singed into effect that repeals, alters, or extends presidential term limits in a way that would allow Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to serve more than two terms, or if Turkey’s Constitutional Court or another court with binding authority issues a ruling that permits a president to serve more than two terms, by July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM local time in Turkey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Beware of external links.