Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability that President Trump will have spoken with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in March, driven by Rutte's March 24 confirmation of "several conversations" amid Trump's public criticisms of the alliance's burden-sharing. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman follows at 30%, reflecting a verified March 1 phone call and Trump's March 28 remarks on regional coordination during the ongoing U.S.-Iran war. Lower odds for Xi Jinping (32%) and Volodymyr Zelenskyy (19%) stem from no confirmed March diplomacy, despite broader foreign policy pressures. With the market resolving March 31 based on official sources, any late-breaking bilateral calls or summits could shift positioning in the final days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$316,133 Vol.

Mark Rutte
48%

Mohammed bin Salman
27%

Xi Jinping
25%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
14%

Pope Leo XIV
13%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
24%

Reza Pahlavi
6%

Masoud Pezeshkian
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%

Kim Jong Un
1%

Nicolás Maduro
<1%

MrBeast
<1%
$316,133 Vol.

Mark Rutte
48%

Mohammed bin Salman
27%

Xi Jinping
25%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
14%

Pope Leo XIV
13%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
24%

Reza Pahlavi
6%

Masoud Pezeshkian
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%

Kim Jong Un
1%

Nicolás Maduro
<1%

MrBeast
<1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability that President Trump will have spoken with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in March, driven by Rutte's March 24 confirmation of "several conversations" amid Trump's public criticisms of the alliance's burden-sharing. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman follows at 30%, reflecting a verified March 1 phone call and Trump's March 28 remarks on regional coordination during the ongoing U.S.-Iran war. Lower odds for Xi Jinping (32%) and Volodymyr Zelenskyy (19%) stem from no confirmed March diplomacy, despite broader foreign policy pressures. With the market resolving March 31 based on official sources, any late-breaking bilateral calls or summits could shift positioning in the final days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions