Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$18,957,334 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 77%

Kevin Warsh 11%

Scott Bessent 3.5%

Christopher Waller 3.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,957,334
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM
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$18,957,334 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 77%

Kevin Warsh 11%

Scott Bessent 3.5%

Christopher Waller 3.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$1,885,502 Vol.

77%

Kevin Warsh

$485,359 Vol.

11%

Scott Bessent

$581,885 Vol.

4%

Christopher Waller

$742,492 Vol.

3%

Rick Rieder

$466,694 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$387,673 Vol.

2%

David Malpass

$377,655 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$754,364 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$940,380 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$361,007 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$442,605 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$417,347 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,608,524 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$882,859 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$482,213 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$1,105,158 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,885,893 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$440,337 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$968,525 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$258,887 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,354,622 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$267,291 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$715,777 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$102,009 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$37,271 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$18,957,334
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM