Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder 61.3%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 6.6%

Kevin Hassett 5%

$249,882,400 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$249,882,400
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder 61.3%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 6.6%

Kevin Hassett 5%

$249,882,400 Vol.

Rick Rieder

$7,957,167 Vol.

61%

Kevin Warsh

$9,365,318 Vol.

22%

Christopher Waller

$6,800,109 Vol.

7%

Kevin Hassett

$14,317,970 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$8,523,986 Vol.

2%

Judy Shelton

$8,018,894 Vol.

1%

Michelle Bowman

$6,164,946 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$5,979,425 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$4,770,813 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$5,657,408 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$13,076,675 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,364,805 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,193,463 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,868,022 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,025,331 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,313,107 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,224,067 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,347,330 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$3,681,003 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,128,783 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$9,926,841 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,902,022 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,840,591 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$19,497,746 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,933,763 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$249,882,400
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Beware of external links.