Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$155,698,965 Vol.

Kevin Warsh 42%

Kevin Hassett 37%

Christopher Waller 12.3%

Rick Rieder 4.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$155,698,965
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$155,698,965 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 42%

Kevin Hassett 37%

Christopher Waller 12.3%

Rick Rieder 4.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Warsh

$4,297,202 Vol.

42%

Kevin Hassett

$8,437,237 Vol.

37%

Christopher Waller

$3,510,120 Vol.

12%

Rick Rieder

$2,722,986 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$3,619,149 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$2,964,472 Vol.

2%

Judy Shelton

$3,958,577 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$3,077,864 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$2,563,307 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$3,178,519 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$1,952,312 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$12,394,012 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,392,861 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$9,316,483 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,791,140 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$4,385,817 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,712,317 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,473,816 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$2,073,900 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,868,330 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$4,543,947 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,071,766 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,017,782 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,014,190 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,357,576 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$155,698,965
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.