Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$169,977,076 Vol.

Kevin Warsh 42%

Kevin Hassett 40%

Christopher Waller 9.0%

Rick Rieder 3.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$169,977,076
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$169,977,076 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 42%

Kevin Hassett 40%

Christopher Waller 9.0%

Rick Rieder 3.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Warsh

$4,567,913 Vol.

42%

Kevin Hassett

$8,746,138 Vol.

40%

Christopher Waller

$3,688,754 Vol.

9%

Rick Rieder

$2,898,757 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$4,039,738 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$3,459,931 Vol.

2%

Judy Shelton

$4,236,387 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$3,329,074 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$2,154,936 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$20,753,913 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,647,665 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$2,773,061 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$4,038,971 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$2,342,327 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$9,478,154 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,860,165 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$4,634,729 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,835,542 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,592,905 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,959,330 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$4,549,889 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,570,840 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,274,042 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,131,336 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,407,576 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$169,977,076
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.