Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$36,372,321 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 75%

Kevin Warsh 13%

Scott Bessent 3.9%

Christopher Waller 3.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,372,321
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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$36,372,321 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 75%

Kevin Warsh 13%

Scott Bessent 3.9%

Christopher Waller 3.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,247,318 Vol.

75%

Kevin Warsh

$586,718 Vol.

13%

Scott Bessent

$686,959 Vol.

4%

Christopher Waller

$868,949 Vol.

4%

Rick Rieder

$561,570 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$480,507 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$858,231 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$534,663 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$483,771 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$932,410 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$538,513 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$619,305 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,023,275 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$468,270 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,622,974 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$516,019 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,378,112 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,911,933 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,308,921 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$265,734 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,399,840 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$3,873,011 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$736,783 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$106,017 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$6,357,537 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$36,372,321
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.