Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$75,969,014 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 20%

Christopher Waller 11.7%

Rick Rieder 7.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,969,014
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$75,969,014 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 20%

Christopher Waller 11.7%

Rick Rieder 7.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,984,627 Vol.

56%

Kevin Warsh

$2,047,369 Vol.

20%

Christopher Waller

$2,149,780 Vol.

12%

Rick Rieder

$1,443,087 Vol.

7%

Scott Bessent

$1,666,140 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,696,463 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,339,580 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,506,339 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,374,848 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,721,893 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$676,712 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$728,418 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,483,916 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$789,080 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$682,424 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,537,735 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,251,172 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,245,674 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,423 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,493,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$12,330,754 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$237,778 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,129,112 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$75,969,014
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.