Market icon

Who will Trump announce to replace Kugler?

$86,980 Vol.

Stephen Miran 100.0%

Kevin Warsh <1%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Arthur Laffer <1%

OUTCOMERESULT

Rules

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his nominee to fill Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler's chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for this position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".

An announcement of Trump's nominee to fill this position will be sufficient to immediately resolve this market, regardless of whether that individual ultimately is confirmed.

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$86,980
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Aug 1, 2025, 8:57 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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$86,980 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump announce to replace Kugler?

Stephen Miran 100.0%

Kevin Warsh <1%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Arthur Laffer <1%

Kevin Warsh

$30,968 Vol.

No

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Kevin Hassett

$14,142 Vol.

No

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Arthur Laffer

$7,207 Vol.

No

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Larry Kudlow

$6,504 Vol.

No

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Judy Shelton

$1,515 Vol.

No

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Ron Paul

$2,298 Vol.

No

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Chamath Palihapitiya

$1,135 Vol.

No

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Howard Lutnick

$1,735 Vol.

No

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Scott Bessent

$4,044 Vol.

No

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Elon Musk

$2,397 Vol.

No

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Chris Waller

$4,900 Vol.

No

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Michelle Bowman

$1,555 Vol.

No

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Roger W. Ferguson Jr.

$1,769 Vol.

No

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Stephen Miran

$1,475 Vol.

Yes

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No announcement by December 31

$5,333 Vol.

No

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About

Volume
$86,980
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Aug 1, 2025, 8:57 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.