Recent diplomatic momentum between the US and Iran centers on a memorandum of understanding reached around June 14, with formal signing slated for June 19 in Switzerland, alongside efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ease certain sanctions. However, intermittent US strikes on Iranian targets, Israeli reluctance to fully withdraw forces from southern Lebanon, and unresolved issues such as Iran's nuclear program continue to sustain elevated security risks. These factors, combined with the short timeline remaining before June 30, underpin trader consensus that physical entry into Iran by any listed US officials, lawmakers, or other figures remains improbable amid ongoing regional volatility and the absence of normalized diplomatic access.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$421,603 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Any U.S. Senator
2%
Any U.S. House member
1%
JD Vance
1%
Jared Kushner
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
$421,603 Vol.
Any U.S. Senator
$31,626 Vol.
2%
Any U.S. House member
$94,989 Vol.
1%
JD Vance
$37,375 Vol.
1%
Jared Kushner
$15,934 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$22,713 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$71,468 Vol.
1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$50,161 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$97,337 Vol.
<1%
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic momentum between the US and Iran centers on a memorandum of understanding reached around June 14, with formal signing slated for June 19 in Switzerland, alongside efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ease certain sanctions. However, intermittent US strikes on Iranian targets, Israeli reluctance to fully withdraw forces from southern Lebanon, and unresolved issues such as Iran's nuclear program continue to sustain elevated security risks. These factors, combined with the short timeline remaining before June 30, underpin trader consensus that physical entry into Iran by any listed US officials, lawmakers, or other figures remains improbable amid ongoing regional volatility and the absence of normalized diplomatic access.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volume
$421,603End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic momentum between the US and Iran centers on a memorandum of understanding reached around June 14, with formal signing slated for June 19 in Switzerland, alongside efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ease certain sanctions. However, intermittent US strikes on Iranian targets, Israeli reluctance to fully withdraw forces from southern Lebanon, and unresolved issues such as Iran's nuclear program continue to sustain elevated security risks. These factors, combined with the short timeline remaining before June 30, underpin trader consensus that physical entry into Iran by any listed US officials, lawmakers, or other figures remains improbable amid ongoing regional volatility and the absence of normalized diplomatic access.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$421,603End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic momentum between the US and Iran centers on a memorandum of understanding reached around June 14, with formal signing slated for June 19 in Switzerland, alongside efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ease certain sanctions. However, intermittent US strikes on Iranian targets, Israeli reluctance to fully withdraw forces from southern Lebanon, and unresolved issues such as Iran's nuclear program continue to sustain elevated security risks. These factors, combined with the short timeline remaining before June 30, underpin trader consensus that physical entry into Iran by any listed US officials, lawmakers, or other figures remains improbable amid ongoing regional volatility and the absence of normalized diplomatic access.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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