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Politics·Trump

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

Who visited Epstein's Island?

$1,369,722 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,369,722 Vol.

Polymarket

Richard Branson

$16,689 Vol.

13%

Woody Allen

$12,124 Vol.

12%

Steve Bannon

$56,812 Vol.

11%

Steven Tisch

$0 Vol.

10%

Kevin Spacey

$20,449 Vol.

10%

Deepak Chopra

$0 Vol.

10%

Noam Chomsky

$24,268 Vol.

9%

Harvey Weinstein

$16,786 Vol.

9%

Michael Jackson

$150,617 Vol.

8%

Bill Gates

$95,337 Vol.

8%

Bill Clinton

$255,851 Vol.

8%

Jay-Z

$447,342 Vol.

6%

Donald Trump

$128,070 Vol.

5%

Bill Cosby

$8,062 Vol.

5%

Elon Musk

$77,851 Vol.

4%

Peter Attia

$0 Vol.

3%

Hillary Clinton

$38,214 Vol.

3%

Marco Rubio

$21,250 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's phased release of over six million pages of Epstein files since late January 2026, including flight manifests and emails tied to Little St. James, has driven trader sentiment, with implied probabilities for confirmed physical visits remaining low—Richard Branson at 14%, Woody Allen and Steve Bannon at 12%—reflecting sparse unambiguous evidence amid numerous mentions and invitations. March reports from outlets like The Wall Street Journal detail fallout such as resignations for figures like Steve Tisch, but no major new island visitor confirmations in the past 30 days. Upcoming congressional reviews or additional data sets could shift odds before the June 30 resolution based on official DOJ disclosures.

The U.S. Department of Justice's phased release of over six million pages of Epstein files since late January 2026, including flight manifests and emails tied to Little St. James, has driven trader sentiment, with implied probabilities for confirmed physical visits remaining low—Richard Branson at 14%, Woody Allen and Steve Bannon at 12%—reflecting sparse unambiguous evidence amid numerous mentions and invitations. March reports from outlets like The Wall Street Journal detail fallout such as resignations for figures like Steve Tisch, but no major new island visitor confirmations in the past 30 days. Upcoming congressional reviews or additional data sets could shift odds before the June 30 resolution based on official DOJ disclosures.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's phased release of over six million pages of Epstein files since late January 2026, including flight manifests and emails tied to Little St. James, has driven trader sentiment, with implied probabilities for confirmed physical visits remaining low—Richard Branson at 14%, Woody Allen and Steve Bannon at 12%—reflecting sparse unambiguous evidence amid numerous mentions and invitations. March reports from outlets like The Wall Street Journal detail fallout such as resignations for figures like Steve Tisch, but no major new island visitor confirmations in the past 30 days. Upcoming congressional reviews or additional data sets could shift odds before the June 30 resolution based on official DOJ disclosures.

The U.S. Department of Justice's phased release of over six million pages of Epstein files since late January 2026, including flight manifests and emails tied to Little St. James, has driven trader sentiment, with implied probabilities for confirmed physical visits remaining low—Richard Branson at 14%, Woody Allen and Steve Bannon at 12%—reflecting sparse unambiguous evidence amid numerous mentions and invitations. March reports from outlets like The Wall Street Journal detail fallout such as resignations for figures like Steve Tisch, but no major new island visitor confirmations in the past 30 days. Upcoming congressional reviews or additional data sets could shift odds before the June 30 resolution based on official DOJ disclosures.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who visited Epstein's Island?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Richard Branson" at 13%, followed by "Woody Allen" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who visited Epstein's Island?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who visited Epstein's Island?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who visited Epstein's Island?" is "Richard Branson" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Woody Allen" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who visited Epstein's Island?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.