Anthropic 76.2%
Google 15%
OpenAI 5.5%
xAI 2.5%
$5,984,210 Vol.
$5,984,210 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Anthropic
$877,608 Vol.
76%
$693,523 Vol.
15%
OpenAI
$568,753 Vol.
6%
xAI
$545,751 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$563,010 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$469,150 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$429,507 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$364,590 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$418,239 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$522,342 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$531,983 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Jan 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volume
$5,984,210End Date
Feb 28, 2026Created At
Jan 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic 76.2%
Google 15%
OpenAI 5.5%
xAI 2.5%
$5,984,210 Vol.
$5,984,210 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Anthropic
$877,608 Vol.
76%
$693,523 Vol.
15%
OpenAI
$568,753 Vol.
6%
xAI
$545,751 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$563,010 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$469,150 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$429,507 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$364,590 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$418,239 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$522,342 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$531,983 Vol.
<1%
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