Alibaba 100.0%
xAI <1%
Anthropic <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$354,763 Vol.
$354,763 Vol.
Sep 30, 2025

xAI
No

Anthropic
No

DeepSeek
No

Mistral AI
No

Tencent
No

OpenAI
No

Meta
No

No

Alibaba
Yes

Moonshot
No

Microsoft
No

Z.ai
No
Alibaba 100.0%
xAI <1%
Anthropic <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$354,763 Vol.
$354,763 Vol.
Sep 30, 2025

xAI
$24,045 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$39,227 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$32,178 Vol.
No

Mistral AI
$23,235 Vol.
No

Tencent
$14,493 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$27,149 Vol.
No

Meta
$18,557 Vol.
No

$47,032 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$83,346 Vol.
Yes

Moonshot
$13,420 Vol.
No

Microsoft
$16,614 Vol.
No

Z.ai
$15,469 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2025, 3:06 PM ET
Volume
$354,763End Date
Sep 30, 2025Market Opened
Sep 10, 2025, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No



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