Market icon

Which company has best AI model end of March?

Google 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

xAI <1%

Anthropic <1%

$4,240,857 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$4,240,857
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Created At
Feb 20, 2025, 2:19 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company has best AI model end of March?

Google 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

xAI <1%

Anthropic <1%

$4,240,857 Vol.

Market icon

Google

$667,877 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

OpenAI

$721,150 Vol.

No

Market icon

xAI

$612,054 Vol.

No

Market icon

Anthropic

$696,737 Vol.

No

Market icon

Meta

$620,836 Vol.

No

Market icon

Alibaba

$432,703 Vol.

No

Market icon

DeepSeek

$489,501 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$4,240,857
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Created At
Feb 20, 2025, 2:19 PM ET

Beware of external links.