Market icon

What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?

$40,100 Vol.

Rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,100
End Date
Feb 24, 2026
Created At
Jan 5, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Beware of external links.

Market icon

What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?

$40,100 Vol.

America / American 25+ times

$5,033 Vol.

85%

Job 20+ times

$2,698 Vol.

57%

Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times

$2,504 Vol.

88%

Biden 10+ times

$2,587 Vol.

43%

Border 7+ times

$1,574 Vol.

76%

AI / Artificial Intelligence 2+ times

$2,804 Vol.

79%

Hottest

$2,110 Vol.

80%

Kamala / Harris

$601 Vol.

47%

Kennedy / Autism

$449 Vol.

67%

Middle East

$171 Vol.

83%

Crypto / Bitcoin

$14,609 Vol.

35%

Israel / Gaza

$1,340 Vol.

87%

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$1,370 Vol.

76%

Black / Hispanic

$773 Vol.

63%

Gold Card / Trump Card

$1,476 Vol.

52%

About

Volume
$40,100
End Date
Feb 24, 2026
Created At
Jan 5, 2026, 10:14 AM ET

Beware of external links.