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What will Powell say during December Press Conference?

Market icon

What will Powell say during December Press Conference?

$1,863,438 Vol.

Dec 18, 2024
Polymarket

$1,863,438 Vol.

Polymarket

Good Afternoon

$513,028 Vol.

Yes

Tariff

$155,978 Vol.

Yes

Trump

$134,487 Vol.

No

Inflation 40+ times

$138,907 Vol.

Yes

Inflation 50+ times

$387,259 Vol.

Yes

Growth 10+ times

$71,062 Vol.

No

Cut 7+ times

$87,623 Vol.

Yes

Price 10+ times

$40,065 Vol.

Yes

Tariff 5+ times

$159,395 Vol.

No

Unemployment 5+ times

$46,462 Vol.

Yes

Crypto/Bitcoin

$129,173 Vol.

Yes

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on December 18 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "good afternoon" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If no such statement happens by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Volume
$1,863,438
End Date
Dec 18, 2024
Market Opened
Nov 15, 2024, 4:45 PM ET
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on December 18 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "good afternoon" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If no such statement happens by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Powell say during December Press Conference?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Good Afternoon" at 100%, followed by "Tariff" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Powell say during December Press Conference?" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Powell say during December Press Conference?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Powell say during December Press Conference?" is "Good Afternoon" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tariff" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Powell say during December Press Conference?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.