Market icon

Trump approval rating on April 4?

46.5-46.9 100.0%

<46 <1%

46.0-46.4 <1%

47.0-47.4 <1%

Polymarket

$345,077 Vol.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 4, 2025.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$345,077
End Date
Apr 4, 2025
Created At
Mar 28, 2025, 12:21 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 4, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Trump approval rating on April 4?

46.5-46.9 100.0%

<46 <1%

46.0-46.4 <1%

47.0-47.4 <1%

Polymarket

$345,077 Vol.

<46

$32,318 Vol.

No

46.0-46.4

$25,242 Vol.

No

46.5-46.9

$20,025 Vol.

Yes

47.0-47.4

$185,864 Vol.

No

47.5-47.9

$16,058 Vol.

No

48.0-48.4

$17,459 Vol.

No

48.5+

$48,111 Vol.

No

Beware of external links.