SPD % of vote in German Election?
SPD % of vote in German Election?
15-20% 100.0%
<10% <1%
10-15% <1%
20-25% <1%
$6,619,855 Vol.
$6,619,855 Vol.
Feb 23, 2025
<10%
No
10-15%
No
15-20%
Yes
20-25%
No
25-30%
No
>30%
No
15-20% 100.0%
<10% <1%
10-15% <1%
20-25% <1%
$6,619,855 Vol.
$6,619,855 Vol.
Feb 23, 2025
<10%
$558,278 Vol.
No
10-15%
$776,453 Vol.
No
15-20%
$701,243 Vol.
Yes
20-25%
$352,708 Vol.
No
25-30%
$831,404 Vol.
No
>30%
$3,399,770 Vol.
No
German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins less than 10% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins less than 10% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins less than 10% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Created At: Dec 17, 2024, 5:21 PM ET
Volume
$6,619,855End Date
Feb 23, 2025Created At
Dec 17, 2024, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No




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