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Climate & Science·Weather

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Market icon
Climate & Science·Weather

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

30-35mm 34%

40-45mm 23%

35-40mm 18%

60mm+ 15%

Polymarket

$25,510 Vol.

30-35mm 34%

40-45mm 23%

35-40mm 18%

60mm+ 15%

Polymarket

$25,510 Vol.

<30mm

$23,832 Vol.

<1%

30-35mm

$140 Vol.

28%

35-40mm

$234 Vol.

25%

40-45mm

$105 Vol.

23%

45-50mm

$127 Vol.

6%

50-55mm

$101 Vol.

14%

55-60mm

$219 Vol.

12%

60mm+

$780 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dry March in Seoul, with accumulated precipitation through March 28 likely around 25-30mm based on Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations of light rain on March 2-3, mixed rain-snow early on March 5-6, and isolated light showers on March 15 and 18, well below the historical March average of 47mm. Persistent high-pressure systems and fog have dominated since mid-month, suppressing further rainfall, while KMA short-term forecasts show only 10-30% precipitation probabilities for March 29-31 amid mild southerly flows. This tight clustering around 30-45mm outcomes stems from uncertainty in final liquid-equivalent totals from any trace late-month events, with model ensembles indicating minimal additional accumulation needed to differentiate bins. KMA's end-of-month summary will resolve.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dry March in Seoul, with accumulated precipitation through March 28 likely around 25-30mm based on Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations of light rain on March 2-3, mixed rain-snow early on March 5-6, and isolated light showers on March 15 and 18, well below the historical March average of 47mm. Persistent high-pressure systems and fog have dominated since mid-month, suppressing further rainfall, while KMA short-term forecasts show only 10-30% precipitation probabilities for March 29-31 amid mild southerly flows. This tight clustering around 30-45mm outcomes stems from uncertainty in final liquid-equivalent totals from any trace late-month events, with model ensembles indicating minimal additional accumulation needed to differentiate bins. KMA's end-of-month summary will resolve.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dry March in Seoul, with accumulated precipitation through March 28 likely around 25-30mm based on Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations of light rain on March 2-3, mixed rain-snow early on March 5-6, and isolated light showers on March 15 and 18, well below the historical March average of 47mm. Persistent high-pressure systems and fog have dominated since mid-month, suppressing further rainfall, while KMA short-term forecasts show only 10-30% precipitation probabilities for March 29-31 amid mild southerly flows. This tight clustering around 30-45mm outcomes stems from uncertainty in final liquid-equivalent totals from any trace late-month events, with model ensembles indicating minimal additional accumulation needed to differentiate bins. KMA's end-of-month summary will resolve.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dry March in Seoul, with accumulated precipitation through March 28 likely around 25-30mm based on Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations of light rain on March 2-3, mixed rain-snow early on March 5-6, and isolated light showers on March 15 and 18, well below the historical March average of 47mm. Persistent high-pressure systems and fog have dominated since mid-month, suppressing further rainfall, while KMA short-term forecasts show only 10-30% precipitation probabilities for March 29-31 amid mild southerly flows. This tight clustering around 30-45mm outcomes stems from uncertainty in final liquid-equivalent totals from any trace late-month events, with model ensembles indicating minimal additional accumulation needed to differentiate bins. KMA's end-of-month summary will resolve.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Precipitation in Seoul in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30-35mm" at 28%, followed by "35-40mm" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Precipitation in Seoul in March?" has generated $25.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Precipitation in Seoul in March?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Precipitation in Seoul in March?" is "30-35mm" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "35-40mm" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Precipitation in Seoul in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.