Accumulated precipitation at New York City Central Park through March 28 totals approximately 3.2 inches, per National Weather Service monitoring, positioning the monthly sum firmly on track for the 3-4 inch range that commands 76.5% market-implied probability among traders. This reflects slightly below-normal rainfall—versus the 4.3-inch March climatological average—with recent light showers from a slow-moving cold front adding only 0.2-0.4 inches over the past week, insufficient to bridge to higher bins. NOAA forecast models and NWS guidance for March 29-31 indicate scattered light precipitation at best amid high-pressure ridging, with minimal additional accumulation expected (under 0.5 inches), underscoring low uncertainty in short-term dynamical predictions. Trader sentiment prices tail risks low, as no tropical or intense synoptic systems threaten extremes before month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPrecipitation in NYC in March?
Precipitation in NYC in March?
3-4" 77%
4-5" 23%
5-6" <1%
>6" <1%
$158,010 Vol.
$158,010 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
<2"
<1%
2-3"
<1%
3-4"
77%
4-5"
23%
5-6"
1%
>6"
1%
3-4" 77%
4-5" 23%
5-6" <1%
>6" <1%
$158,010 Vol.
$158,010 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
<2"
$29,044 Vol.
<1%
2-3"
$11,656 Vol.
<1%
3-4"
$26,927 Vol.
77%
4-5"
$25,786 Vol.
23%
5-6"
$17,047 Vol.
1%
>6"
$47,550 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Accumulated precipitation at New York City Central Park through March 28 totals approximately 3.2 inches, per National Weather Service monitoring, positioning the monthly sum firmly on track for the 3-4 inch range that commands 76.5% market-implied probability among traders. This reflects slightly below-normal rainfall—versus the 4.3-inch March climatological average—with recent light showers from a slow-moving cold front adding only 0.2-0.4 inches over the past week, insufficient to bridge to higher bins. NOAA forecast models and NWS guidance for March 29-31 indicate scattered light precipitation at best amid high-pressure ridging, with minimal additional accumulation expected (under 0.5 inches), underscoring low uncertainty in short-term dynamical predictions. Trader sentiment prices tail risks low, as no tropical or intense synoptic systems threaten extremes before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Volume
$158,010End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Accumulated precipitation at New York City Central Park through March 28 totals approximately 3.2 inches, per National Weather Service monitoring, positioning the monthly sum firmly on track for the 3-4 inch range that commands 76.5% market-implied probability among traders. This reflects slightly below-normal rainfall—versus the 4.3-inch March climatological average—with recent light showers from a slow-moving cold front adding only 0.2-0.4 inches over the past week, insufficient to bridge to higher bins. NOAA forecast models and NWS guidance for March 29-31 indicate scattered light precipitation at best amid high-pressure ridging, with minimal additional accumulation expected (under 0.5 inches), underscoring low uncertainty in short-term dynamical predictions. Trader sentiment prices tail risks low, as no tropical or intense synoptic systems threaten extremes before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$158,010End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Accumulated precipitation at New York City Central Park through March 28 totals approximately 3.2 inches, per National Weather Service monitoring, positioning the monthly sum firmly on track for the 3-4 inch range that commands 76.5% market-implied probability among traders. This reflects slightly below-normal rainfall—versus the 4.3-inch March climatological average—with recent light showers from a slow-moving cold front adding only 0.2-0.4 inches over the past week, insufficient to bridge to higher bins. NOAA forecast models and NWS guidance for March 29-31 indicate scattered light precipitation at best amid high-pressure ridging, with minimal additional accumulation expected (under 0.5 inches), underscoring low uncertainty in short-term dynamical predictions. Trader sentiment prices tail risks low, as no tropical or intense synoptic systems threaten extremes before month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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